Análisis Peñarol vs River Plate Montevideo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
58.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.09
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+26%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2009 |
LFC
2 - 2
PEÑ
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
TAC
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CER
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2009 |
MWA
0 - 2
PEÑ
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIV
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
50%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2009 |
RIV
4 - 1
VIT
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 2
RIV
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 1
JUN
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |