Análisis Peñarol vs São Caetano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2004 |
AME
3 - 1
PEÑ
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
CSM
1 - 3
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2003 |
RIV
0 - 1
PEÑ
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
COL
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 feb. 2004 |
ITU
2 - 3
SAO
19%
25%
56%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 1
MAR
87%
10%
4%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
OES
2 - 2
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 2
STR
68%
20%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |