Análisis Penya Arrabal vs Calvià
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.44
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 1
CLL
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2008 |
SHO
0 - 2
PEN
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 sep. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 0
SLL
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 1
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Calvià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2008 |
CAL
3 - 3
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2008 |
PLA
2 - 0
CAL
39%
25%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 2008 |
CAL
0 - 1
GEN
39%
25%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2008 |
SCD
1 - 0
CAL
58%
22%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2008 |
CAL
0 - 1
CFP
22%
24%
54%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |