Copa de Gales . Octavos

Análisis Penybont vs Caernarfon Town FC

Penybont Caernarfon Town FC
59 ELO 59
5.4% Tilt 1.7%
1424º Ranking ELO general 2087º
Ranking ELO país 13º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
41.3%
Penybont
22.8%
Empate
35.9%
Caernarfon Town FC

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
41.3%
Probabilidad gana
Penybont
1.73
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.9%
Probabilidad gana
Caernarfon Town FC
1.6
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Penybont
Caernarfon Town FC
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Penybont
Penybont
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 oct. 2021
PEN
Penybont
2 - 1
Haverfordwest County
HAV
58%
22%
20%
59 53 6 0
09 oct. 2021
NEW
Newtown
3 - 1
Penybont
PEN
55%
23%
22%
60 62 2 -1
02 oct. 2021
PEN
Penybont
1 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
41%
25%
34%
60 59 1 0
24 sep. 2021
CAM
Cambrian & Clydach
1 - 3
Penybont
PEN
17%
21%
63%
59 44 15 +1
18 sep. 2021
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
0 - 3
Penybont
PEN
18%
23%
59%
59 38 21 0

Partidos

Caernarfon Town FC
Caernarfon Town FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 oct. 2021
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
2 - 3
Flint Town United
FLI
59%
22%
19%
60 56 4 0
09 oct. 2021
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
0 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
32%
24%
44%
60 53 7 0
02 oct. 2021
PEN
Penybont
1 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
41%
25%
34%
59 60 1 +1
24 sep. 2021
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
3 - 0
Prestatyn Town
PRE
60%
19%
21%
58 53 5 +1
21 sep. 2021
NEW
Newtown
5 - 0
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
43%
22%
35%
60 59 1 -2
X