Análisis Pergocrema vs Varese
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 0
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
PER
1 - 0
ACL
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
PER
2 - 1
SAS
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
CUN
4 - 3
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
PER
0 - 1
NUO
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2007 |
FSD
2 - 1
VAR
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
ACM
1 - 1
VAR
39%
27%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 0
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
SAS
2 - 1
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
VAR
0 - 2
BIE
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |