Análisis Perugia vs Varese
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
41.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.07
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
31.6%
Empate
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
27.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 oct. 1972 |
BAR
0 - 1
PRG
59%
25%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1972 |
PRG
0 - 0
REG
60%
26%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1972 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PRG
46%
31%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 oct. 1972 |
PRG
2 - 0
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 1972 |
ASS
1 - 0
PRG
41%
32%
28%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 oct. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASS
63%
24%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1972 |
FCC
3 - 0
VAR
47%
30%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 1972 |
VAR
2 - 1
BRI
75%
18%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 0
BAR
57%
27%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1972 |
NOV
2 - 2
VAR
44%
31%
26%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |