Análisis Perugia vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 2
PRG
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2015 |
PRG
4 - 0
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 0
PRG
24%
27%
48%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 0
VIR
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
PRG
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACD
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEO
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 nov. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 1
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
MOD
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |