Análisis PKC .83 vs Excelsior .31
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
PKC .83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2007 |
FLE
2 - 0
PKC
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2007 |
HHC
4 - 0
PKC
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 2007 |
PKC
2 - 1
GOA
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
ACV
1 - 1
PKC
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 2007 |
PKC
2 - 0
STA
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +3 |
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
GOA
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2007 |
ACV
0 - 1
EXC
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 2007 |
EXC
6 - 1
STA
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
ONS
0 - 3
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 sep. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 0
GEN
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |