Análisis Poblense vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
32.6%
Empate
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.6%
31.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
14.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1978 |
PBL
4 - 1
REU
43%
26%
30%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1978 |
MNC
0 - 0
PBL
51%
28%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1978 |
PBL
2 - 1
MLL
47%
30%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 sep. 1978 |
REU
2 - 0
PBL
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 1978 |
ALB
5 - 0
PBL
57%
28%
15%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
Partidos
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1978 |
CFC
2 - 0
ALZ
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1978 |
CFC
3 - 0
CON
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1978 |
MNC
0 - 2
CFC
29%
32%
39%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 1978 |
ALZ
1 - 2
CFC
35%
25%
39%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1978 |
CFC
2 - 0
ATB
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |