Análisis Poblense vs Platges de Calvià
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+30%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 2
PBL
27%
29%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2003 |
PBL
3 - 1
UDA
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 sep. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 2
PBL
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
PBL
4 - 1
CDC
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2003 |
FER
3 - 2
PBL
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Platges de Calvià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 2003 |
UDA
1 - 2
CFP
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 3
CDC
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 2003 |
FER
0 - 0
CFP
64%
21%
16%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
CFP
2 - 0
ALA
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 may. 2003 |
CON
2 - 0
CFP
74%
18%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |