Análisis Poblense vs Mercadal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+38%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 nov. 2011 |
CFP
1 - 1
PBL
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2011 |
PBL
1 - 2
UDI
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
SNF
2 - 0
PBL
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
PBL
4 - 3
FRR
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
PXD
1 - 1
PBL
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 nov. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
CON
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2011 |
BNS
0 - 0
MER
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
FLN
68%
20%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 2
MER
37%
26%
37%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
CLL
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |