Análisis Polonia Sub18 vs URSS Sub18
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia Sub18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 0
POL
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1982 |
SWE
0 - 0
POL
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1981 |
POL
2 - 1
SWE
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 1981 |
DDR
1 - 2
POL
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 1981 |
POL
2 - 0
DDR
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
URSS Sub18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 0
POL
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1981 |
SUN
1 - 0
NOR
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 oct. 1981 |
NOR
0 - 2
SUN
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 abr. 1981 |
CSK
1 - 0
SUN
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 1980 |
SUN
1 - 0
CSK
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |