Análisis Ponferradina vs Júpiter Leonés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.32
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.5%
Empate
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.5%
8.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 1954 |
TUR
2 - 4
PON
47%
22%
31%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1954 |
PON
2 - 0
SAN
89%
7%
4%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1954 |
CEL
2 - 2
PON
62%
18%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 1954 |
PON
3 - 0
CDO
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 1954 |
RAC
1 - 1
PON
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Júpiter Leonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 1954 |
LEO
6 - 3
ZAM
71%
15%
14%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1954 |
MAR
5 - 3
LEO
57%
20%
24%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 1954 |
LEO
3 - 2
JUV
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 1954 |
LUG
2 - 1
LEO
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1954 |
LEO
5 - 1
SMA
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |