Segunda División Jor. 6

Análisis Ponferradina vs Hércules

Ponferradina Hércules
75 ELO 72
9.3% Tilt -6.5%
2172º Ranking ELO general 3363º
45º Ranking ELO país 78º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
51.6%
Ponferradina
25.8%
Empate
22.6%
Hércules

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Ponferradina
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Hércules
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Ponferradina
-13%
-17%
Hércules

Progresión del ELO

Ponferradina
Hércules
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Ponferradina
Ponferradina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 sep. 2013
ALC
Alcorcón
0 - 1
Ponferradina
PON
54%
25%
21%
73 76 3 0
11 sep. 2013
GIR
Girona
2 - 1
Ponferradina
PON
51%
24%
25%
74 74 0 -1
08 sep. 2013
PON
Ponferradina
2 - 2
Real Sporting
SPO
33%
26%
41%
74 80 6 0
01 sep. 2013
MUR
Real Murcia
2 - 2
Ponferradina
PON
35%
28%
37%
74 67 7 0
25 ago. 2013
PON
Ponferradina
2 - 0
CE Sabadell
SAB
62%
22%
16%
73 65 8 +1

Partidos

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 sep. 2013
HER
Hércules
2 - 2
Mallorca
MLL
34%
27%
39%
73 82 9 0
11 sep. 2013
HER
Hércules
2 - 0
Real Murcia
MUR
57%
22%
21%
72 68 4 +1
08 sep. 2013
REC
Recreativo
2 - 0
Hércules
HER
41%
29%
31%
73 69 4 -1
31 ago. 2013
HER
Hércules
2 - 1
RM Castilla
RMC
49%
25%
26%
72 72 0 +1
25 ago. 2013
CDT
Tenerife
0 - 0
Hércules
HER
35%
28%
37%
72 63 9 0