Análisis Portimonense vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
24.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2011 |
BMA
0 - 1
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
OLH
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
POR
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
PAÇ
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 ene. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 1
POR
51%
27%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 4
PAÇ
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
SCP
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
UDL
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2011 |
BMA
1 - 2
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |