Análisis Portsmouth vs Derby County
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
58%
Probabilidad gana
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2003 |
OPA
3 - 0
GRI
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2003 |
BHA
1 - 1
OPA
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2003 |
OPA
1 - 2
SHE
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2003 |
MUD
4 - 1
OPA
82%
14%
5%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 ene. 2003 |
WAT
2 - 2
OPA
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2003 |
DER
3 - 0
ROT
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2003 |
STO
1 - 3
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2003 |
DER
1 - 1
GIL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 0
DER
41%
26%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 ene. 2003 |
WOL
1 - 1
DER
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |