Paulista B Final
Global 4-1
Análisis Portuguesa Santista vs Desportivo Brasil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2016 |
DES
1 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
TAB
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2016 |
TAB
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
MAU
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 2016 |
MAU
0 - 1
POR
34%
24%
41%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2016 |
DES
1 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2016 |
DES
4 - 3
ECN
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2016 |
ECN
1 - 2
DES
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
VOC
1 - 0
DES
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 2016 |
DES
3 - 1
VOC
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |