Análisis Potencia vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
12.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.73
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
66.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.97
Goles esperados
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Potencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 0
POT
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2023 |
POT
2 - 2
PRO
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
POT
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2023 |
UMO
1 - 0
POT
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2023 |
POT
1 - 3
ALB
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 3
DEP
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2023 |
BOS
2 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CER
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 2
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
PLA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |