Análisis Alemania vs Uruguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.13
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
30.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 3
BRD
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1953 |
PDS
0 - 0
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1953 |
BRD
3 - 0
PDS
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 jun. 1953 |
NOR
2 - 3
PDS
48%
20%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 3
URU
44%
21%
35%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
46%
21%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1954 |
URU
1 - 4
PAR
67%
17%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 may. 1953 |
URU
2 - 1
ENG
35%
22%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 1953 |
URU
3 - 0
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |