Análisis PSV vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.86
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.4%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 1975 |
GAE
0 - 0
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1975 |
TWE
2 - 1
PSV
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1975 |
PSV
1 - 0
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1975 |
FEY
2 - 3
PSV
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 1975 |
PSV
1 - 1
MVV
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 0
EXC
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1975 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |