Análisis PSV vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.17
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.1%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.46
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 1975 |
PSV
8 - 0
LIN
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
PSV
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1975 |
PSV
6 - 2
AJA
55%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1975 |
LIN
1 - 2
PSV
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1975 |
TEL
0 - 0
PSV
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 2
RJC
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 0
EXC
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1975 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
27%
29%
45%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
91%
7%
2%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |