Análisis PSV vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.35
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2004 |
PSV
5 - 1
ZWO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 2
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 2
VOL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2003 |
NAC
3 - 2
RBC
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |