Análisis La Puerta vs Real Jaén B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
19.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
La Puerta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 2007 |
PUE
2 - 1
NSR
21%
25%
54%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2007 |
CDT
0 - 0
PUE
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2007 |
PUE
0 - 2
MAN
21%
26%
53%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2007 |
MIJ
4 - 1
PUE
76%
16%
9%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2007 |
NER
1 - 2
PUE
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +2 |
Partidos
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDT
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 1
RJA
43%
28%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 1
MIJ
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
NER
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2007 |
CDU
3 - 0
RJA
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |