Conmebol Sudamericana Semifinal
Global 4-0
Análisis Pumas UNAM vs Vélez Sarsfield
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 nov. 2005 |
PUM
2 - 0
DOR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2005 |
VEL
0 - 0
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2005 |
TIG
3 - 1
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 nov. 2005 |
PUM
3 - 0
COR
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 2005 |
PUM
2 - 3
ATL
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2005 |
VEL
0 - 2
CEN
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2005 |
VEL
0 - 0
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 0
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
OLI
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2005 |
IND
1 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |