Análisis Pumas UNAM vs Jaguares FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.74
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2004 |
PUE
2 - 3
PUM
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2004 |
PUM
2 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
AME
0 - 3
PUM
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 2
DOR
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 1
PUM
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 2004 |
JAG
0 - 0
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
JAG
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 2
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
MON
5 - 1
JAG
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
JAG
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |