Análisis Pumas UNAM vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 1
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 1
LEO
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2001 |
PUM
2 - 2
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2001 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUM
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2001 |
PUM
2 - 1
REB
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2001 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2001 |
REB
2 - 0
TOL
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 oct. 2001 |
ATS
0 - 3
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
IRA
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2001 |
TIG
1 - 1
TOL
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |