Análisis Quesada C.D. vs Vilches
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
LCA
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
URG
1 - 2
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 2
VIL
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 2
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
BEG
0 - 1
VIL
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |