Copa del Rey 1/32

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Análisis Racing Ferrol vs CD Málaga

Racing Ferrol CD Málaga
52 ELO 67
8.1% Tilt -4.5%
832º Ranking ELO general 28198º
41º Ranking ELO país 8769º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
45.1%
Racing Ferrol
24.1%
Empate
30.8%
CD Málaga

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.1%
Probabilidad gana
Racing Ferrol
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.8%
Probabilidad gana
CD Málaga
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Racing Ferrol
CD Málaga
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 ene. 1979
VAD
Real Valladolid
7 - 1
Racing Ferrol
RCF
70%
20%
10%
53 65 12 0
14 ene. 1979
RCF
Racing Ferrol
0 - 1
RM Castilla
RMC
44%
27%
29%
54 63 9 -1
10 ene. 1979
MAL
CD Málaga
0 - 0
Racing Ferrol
RCF
71%
17%
11%
53 67 14 +1
07 ene. 1979
ALM
AD Almería
1 - 0
Racing Ferrol
RCF
74%
17%
9%
54 62 8 -1
30 dic. 1978
RCF
Racing Ferrol
2 - 1
CD Castellón
CAS
51%
27%
22%
53 61 8 +1

Partidos

CD Málaga
CD Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 ene. 1979
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 1
CD Málaga
MAL
59%
24%
18%
67 62 5 0
14 ene. 1979
MAL
CD Málaga
2 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
52%
26%
22%
66 67 1 +1
10 ene. 1979
MAL
CD Málaga
0 - 0
Racing Ferrol
RCF
71%
17%
11%
67 53 14 -1
07 ene. 1979
SAB
CE Sabadell
1 - 0
CD Málaga
MAL
48%
27%
25%
67 56 11 0
31 dic. 1978
MAL
CD Málaga
2 - 1
Barakaldo
BAR
59%
25%
17%
67 60 7 0