Análisis Rayo Arriacense vs Hogar Alcarreño B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.96
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Rayo Arriacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2024 |
USA
0 - 3
RAY
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 2
RAY
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 1
DAM
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
RAY
19%
19%
63%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2023 |
RAY
3 - 1
CES
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Hogar Alcarreño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2024 |
HOG
0 - 8
SPC
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2024 |
USA
5 - 3
HOG
41%
21%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 ene. 2024 |
HOG
1 - 3
HOR
51%
20%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 dic. 2023 |
DAM
1 - 1
HOG
54%
20%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2023 |
HOG
4 - 2
GUA
43%
21%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |