Análisis Rayo Vallecano vs CD Castellón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.5%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.5%
5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.41
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAY
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2020 |
RAY
0 - 1
ALM
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 nov. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
RAY
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 2020 |
RAY
2 - 0
FUE
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2020 |
ALB
2 - 1
RAY
23%
26%
50%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAR
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2020 |
OVI
4 - 0
CAS
68%
22%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 nov. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
CAS
74%
19%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
ALM
18%
26%
56%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
GIR
14%
24%
63%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |