Análisis Rayo Vallecano vs Real Ávila
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.78
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.8%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1964 |
COL
1 - 2
RAY
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1964 |
RAY
3 - 0
ALC
90%
7%
3%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1964 |
RAY
7 - 0
LEG
92%
6%
2%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1964 |
SBA
2 - 8
RAY
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 1964 |
RAY
1 - 0
TAL
67%
18%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1964 |
AVI
6 - 0
SBA
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1964 |
TAL
3 - 0
AVI
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 1964 |
AVI
2 - 1
SEG
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 oct. 1964 |
FEM
0 - 1
AVI
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1964 |
AVI
3 - 0
GUA
69%
17%
13%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |