Análisis Rayo Vallecano vs UB Conquense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.39
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.4%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1954 |
PUL
1 - 0
RAY
90%
7%
4%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1954 |
RAY
1 - 3
EXT
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -3 |
| 09 may. 1954 |
AMI
2 - 1
RAY
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 may. 1954 |
RAY
1 - 0
DBN
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
GUA
4 - 2
RAY
82%
11%
8%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1954 |
UBC
0 - 2
UDG
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1953 |
VAL
1 - 0
UBC
77%
13%
10%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 abr. 1953 |
UBC
3 - 3
CDS
45%
22%
34%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 1953 |
UDG
4 - 1
UBC
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 1953 |
UBC
1 - 2
MER
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |