Análisis RD Alemania Sub18 vs Finlandia Sub18

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

56.4%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%

23.6%

Empate

0-0

1-1

11.2%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

23.6%

20%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

RD Alemania Sub18

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
01 oct. 1986	SWE 1 - 4 DDR 67% 20% 13%	41	48	7	0
21 may. 1986	SWE 0 - 0 DDR 73% 16% 11%	41	48	7	0
16 oct. 1985	NOR 1 - 1 DDR 53% 25% 22%	41	40	1	0
09 oct. 1985	DDR 2 - 0 FIN 45% 27% 28%	39	46	7	+2
18 may. 1985	FIN 0 - 1 DDR 67% 20% 14%	38	45	7	+1

Partidos

Finlandia Sub18

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 oct. 1985	FIN 0 - 4 SWE 52% 25% 23%	44	47	3	0
09 oct. 1985	DDR 2 - 0 FIN 45% 27% 28%	46	39	7	-2
25 sep. 1985	NOR 1 - 4 FIN 50% 26% 24%	45	41	4	+1
06 jun. 1985	SWE 1 - 1 FIN 58% 23% 19%	45	46	1	0
18 may. 1985	FIN 0 - 1 DDR 67% 20% 14%	45	38	7	0