Análisis Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Guadalajara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
16.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
+55%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1954 |
CDS
3 - 2
ARA
58%
20%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1954 |
ARA
2 - 0
CDM
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
CUA
3 - 2
ARA
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 1954 |
ARA
1 - 1
MAN
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1954 |
PUL
2 - 0
ARA
87%
8%
5%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1954 |
GUA
8 - 0
UDG
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1954 |
PUE
6 - 0
GUA
81%
11%
8%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
GUA
4 - 2
RAY
82%
11%
8%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1954 |
EXT
9 - 0
GUA
84%
10%
7%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 1954 |
GUA
2 - 3
AMI
67%
17%
17%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |