Análisis Real Aranjuez CF vs CD San Fernando
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 1986 |
CDB
1 - 2
ARA
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1986 |
ARA
0 - 0
PEG
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1986 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARA
66%
20%
13%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
ARA
2 - 1
COL
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1986 |
MST
3 - 1
ARA
53%
25%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 1986 |
SFN
1 - 0
TOM
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1986 |
VAL
1 - 0
SFN
77%
16%
8%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1986 |
DAI
2 - 0
SFN
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
SFN
0 - 1
CDB
35%
28%
37%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1986 |
PEG
0 - 0
SFN
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |