Análisis Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Toledo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+42%
+25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 1961 |
MAN
5 - 1
ARA
69%
17%
15%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1961 |
ALC
1 - 2
ARA
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1961 |
ARA
0 - 0
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1961 |
VIL
2 - 1
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 1961 |
ARA
4 - 1
DBN
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 1
DBN
72%
16%
13%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1961 |
CDB
8 - 2
CDT
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 abr. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 2
GDE
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 1961 |
PUE
6 - 0
CDT
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 1961 |
CDT
3 - 0
CDS
89%
7%
4%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |