Análisis Real Aranjuez CF vs Rayo Vallecano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.66
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
9%
Empate
0-0
1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+32%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 1954 |
EXT
1 - 0
ARA
84%
10%
6%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1954 |
ARA
3 - 1
AMI
56%
20%
25%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 ene. 1954 |
DBN
3 - 2
ARA
80%
11%
8%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 ene. 1954 |
GUA
1 - 0
ARA
77%
13%
10%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 ene. 1954 |
ARA
4 - 1
CDS
67%
16%
17%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 1954 |
RAY
0 - 1
UDG
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1954 |
PUE
4 - 1
RAY
89%
7%
4%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 1954 |
RAY
4 - 5
MER
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 ene. 1954 |
EXT
7 - 0
RAY
87%
8%
5%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 ene. 1954 |
RAY
1 - 0
AMI
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |