Análisis Real Ávila vs Atl. Astorga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 2008 |
ACF
0 - 2
AVI
44%
26%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2008 |
AVI
1 - 1
BUR
19%
26%
55%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
MIR
1 - 0
AVI
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
AVI
3 - 1
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
SDA
2 - 1
AVI
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
Partidos
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 1
AST
68%
21%
11%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2008 |
AST
1 - 0
NOR
48%
25%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
NUM
3 - 1
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 2008 |
AST
2 - 0
LEO
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
BEC
2 - 1
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |