Análisis Real Cartagena vs Fortaleza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2015 |
LLA
3 - 2
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUN
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAR
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
CAR
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
32%
29%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAT
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
PER
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |