Análisis Real Cartagena vs Junior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
12%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2012 |
ONC
2 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 nov. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
EQU
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
CAR
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 1
QUI
71%
18%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 1
JUN
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 2
ONC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 0
MIL
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
JUN
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |