Análisis Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jul. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 0
ONC
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 2
SFE
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 may. 2005 |
PAS
1 - 1
CAR
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jul. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 3
AME
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 2005 |
JUN
2 - 1
UNI
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2005 |
IND
5 - 0
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 may. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 1
PER
41%
28%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 0
UNI
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |