Análisis Real Jaén B vs Carolinense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+54%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
RJA
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2007 |
RJA
7 - 0
UDT
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 nov. 2007 |
PUE
0 - 3
RJA
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDT
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 1
RJA
43%
28%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 2007 |
PUE
2 - 0
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 1
CDT
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 dic. 2007 |
MAN
6 - 0
CAR
56%
26%
19%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 nov. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 2
NER
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 nov. 2007 |
CDU
5 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |