Segunda B - Play Offs Ascenso Cuartos
Global 1-2
Análisis Real Jaén vs Deportivo Alavés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-18%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
SAN
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
RJA
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 2
MEL
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
ROD
0 - 1
RJA
35%
31%
34%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2013 |
IZA
1 - 3
ALA
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
TUD
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 may. 2013 |
ATH
1 - 2
ALA
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
ALA
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | -1 |