Análisis Real Jaén vs Alcoyano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.36
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 1953 |
RCD
1 - 1
RJA
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1953 |
VAL
0 - 1
RJA
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 1953 |
RJA
2 - 0
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 dic. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
68%
16%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 1952 |
ORI
4 - 1
RJA
35%
22%
43%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 3
CAT
64%
19%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1953 |
UDL
3 - 0
ALC
64%
18%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 ene. 1953 |
ALC
6 - 1
PUL
70%
17%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 1952 |
CPC
1 - 3
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1952 |
ATB
3 - 1
ALC
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |