Análisis Real Jaén vs Alicante
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.73
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.9%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.9%
17.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 1948 |
ALB
5 - 1
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1948 |
RJA
7 - 1
GAB
89%
7%
4%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1948 |
CIE
3 - 1
RJA
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 1948 |
RJA
5 - 0
CRE
85%
9%
6%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1948 |
ELD
2 - 1
RJA
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 1948 |
ALI
7 - 1
CAA
68%
17%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1948 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALI
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 1948 |
ALI
2 - 0
IMP
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 1948 |
ORI
4 - 4
ALI
47%
21%
32%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1948 |
ALI
2 - 2
ELC
52%
20%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |