Análisis Real Jaén vs At. Malagueño
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+35%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 1972 |
RJA
5 - 1
ELC
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1972 |
MUR
2 - 1
RJA
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 may. 1972 |
RJA
0 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1972 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
57%
26%
17%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 1972 |
RJA
3 - 2
CDB
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 1972 |
MAL
4 - 0
POR
47%
29%
24%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1972 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAL
63%
23%
14%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 may. 1972 |
MAL
2 - 0
CDB
46%
28%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 may. 1972 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAL
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 1972 |
MAL
1 - 0
AGD
49%
28%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |