Análisis Real Jaén vs FC Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2002 |
MAL
0 - 0
RJA
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2002 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALG
61%
25%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2002 |
BET
2 - 2
RJA
31%
30%
39%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2002 |
RJA
1 - 2
CAD
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 2002 |
JER
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
MOT
41%
29%
29%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2002 |
MAL
1 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
AGD
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 sep. 2002 |
ALG
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
MEL
48%
28%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |