Análisis Real Jaén vs C.D. Almería
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.02
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1964 |
ADR
1 - 3
RJA
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1964 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAL
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 oct. 1964 |
ILI
1 - 0
RJA
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 1964 |
RJA
2 - 0
JUV
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1964 |
PUE
4 - 0
RJA
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | -4 |
Partidos
C.D. Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1964 |
MAL
3 - 0
ALM
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1964 |
ALM
3 - 0
JUV
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1964 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 1964 |
ALM
2 - 2
UDF
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1964 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALM
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |