Análisis Real Jaén vs CF Villanovense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
RJA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2012 |
RJA
4 - 1
SEV
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 3
RJA
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 2
MEL
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jul. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAM
78%
15%
8%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
VIL
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
SRQ
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 3
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
CFB
0 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |