Análisis Real Jaén vs Eldense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
17%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 1974 |
AGD
2 - 0
RJA
59%
26%
15%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1974 |
RJA
0 - 0
ALM
53%
27%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 nov. 1974 |
LIN
1 - 0
RJA
63%
25%
12%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 1974 |
RJA
5 - 1
EXT
75%
18%
8%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 1974 |
MEL
0 - 0
RJA
51%
29%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 1974 |
MEL
2 - 0
ELD
45%
31%
24%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1974 |
ELD
1 - 0
ALG
73%
20%
8%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1974 |
VIL
1 - 0
ELD
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 1974 |
HEL
0 - 1
ELD
41%
32%
27%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 nov. 1974 |
ELD
1 - 0
POR
56%
27%
17%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |